UEFA Nations League Tips – Tuesday 16th October

League AGroup A1: France v Germany (20:45) (Tom)

* France are ranked joint 1st in the world with Belgium
* They have won 10 of their last 13 matches
* In fact they’ve only lost 1 in their last 20 game – 2-3 v Colombia before the WC
* Mbappe has 8 goals for France in 2018
* These 2 sides played in September and it finished 0-0 – likely to be tight again
* Germany have lost 4 games in 2018 – South Korea, Mexico, Austria and Brazil
* They’re now ranked 12th in the world – and are in transition after the WC

Tip: France to win / Mbappe anytime
Score Prediction: 2-1

– – –

League BGroup B1: Ukraine v Czech Republic (20:45) (Will)

* Ukraine are unbeaten in 2018
* Won 4 incl, slovakia, albania and Japan
* Beat Czech away 2-1 last month from behind (93rd min winner)
* Czech only won 2 of 6 in 2018

TIP: Ukraine win
SCORE: 2-0

– – –
Group B4: Republic of Ireland v Wales (20:45) (Olly)

* Wales beat Ireland in the reverse UNL fixture 4-1
* Very even H2H record Both have won 6 and there has been 4 draws
* Denmark beat Wales in their last UNL game (2-0)
* Ireland drew with Poland in their last friendly
* IF Bale is fit that could be the difference.

Tip: Draw (if no Bale) / Wales win (if Bale is playing)
Score 1-1 (if no Bale) / 0-2 (if Bale playing)

– – –

League CGroup C3: Norway v Bulgaria (20:45) (Tom)

* 52nd v 44th in the world
* They played in September and Bulgaria won 1-0 – going to be tight again
* Prior to that game Norway had won 5 games in a row
* And kept 3 clean sheets
* Bulgaria have now won 3 on the bounce v Norway, Slovenia and Kazakhstan
* In fact, they’ve only lost 1 of their last 6 games

Tip: Under 2.5 goals / Draw (3.85)
Score Prediction: 1-1

– – –

Group C3: Slovenia v Cyprus (20:45) (Will)

* Slovenia have won 1 of last 6 (montenegro)
* Conceded at least 2 in each of the others = leaky
* Cyrpus won the reverse fixture last month 2-1
* That was the first game they had won in 9
* Conceded in all but 1

TIP: BTTS
SCORE: 2-1
– – –

League DGroup D1: Kazakhstan v Andorra (16:00) (Olly)

* Sides drew 1-1 in the reverse UNL encounter
* Andorra have drawn their last 3 matches (unbeaten in 4)
* Kazahs are unbeaten against Andorra W2 D1
* Kazahs lost opening UNL game 2-0 to Georgia
* Andorra drew 0-0 with Latvia in their opening UNL game

Tip: Draw / Under 2.5
Score: 0-0

– – –

Group D1: Latvia v Georgia (20:45) (Tom)

* 131st v 93rd in the world
* They played in September and Georgia won 1-0
* Latvia have just 1 win in their last 10 games – losing 6 of those
* Georgia also beat Kazakhstan 0-2 in the Nations League in September
* They have conceded just 1 goal in their last 6 games

Tip: Georgia win / Under 2.5 goals
Score Prediction: 0-1

– – –
Group D4: Armenia v FYR Macedonia (18:00) (Will)

* Armenia are ranked 100th
* They have only won 1 of 6 (liechtenstein)
* Macedonia won 2-0 last month
* Extending unbeaten run to 9 games
* Incl. draw with Italy, wins v Norway and Finland
* Only conceded 3 goals in that time
* Ranked 68th

TIP: Macedonia win
SCORE: 2-0

– – –

Group D4: Gibraltar v Liechtenstein (20:45) (Olly)

* Liechtenstein beat Gib 2-0 in the reverse UNL meeting
* Gib are TERRIBLE
* Gib have only scored 1 goal in the last 5 friendlies (beating Latvia 1-0)
* Gib have conceded 14 in the last 5 friendlies
* Liechtenstein have also only won 1 of the last 5 friendlies (that was against Gib)
* Liechtenstein conceded 10 in the last 5 friendlies (slightly less worse than Gib)

Tip: Liechtenstein to win / Under 3.5
Score: 0-2

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