La Liga Tips Gameweek 38 – 2018/2019

Levante v Atletico – Midday (Tom)

15th (43 points) v 2nd (75 points)
Nothing to play for – Levante are already safe, Atletico will finish 2nd
Levante have won 3 of their last 4 games to avoid relegation
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Levante’s last 9 games
Levante have scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 home matches
And are undefeated in 5 at home
But Atletico have won to nil the last 3 times they’ve played
This game finished 0-5 last season – but they have zero to play for

Tip: Levante Double chance (1.83) – RED
Score Prediction: 2-2

– – –

Espanyol v Real Sociedad – 3.15pm (Olly)

Real Sociedad have won their last 3 matches
Espanyol are undefeated in their last 8 matches
9th vs 8th (Both on 50 points)
Neither can get a Europa league spot (6 points behind Sevilla) so nothing really to play for
BTTS in the last 5 meetings between these 2
Super tight game.

Tip: BTTS (1.49) / Draw (3.50) / Draw & BTTS (4.10)
Score: 1-1

– – –

Getafe v Villarreal – 3.15pm (Will)

5th v 14th
Getafe are joint points with Valencia, pushing top 4
Will be desperate for the Champions League spot
Clean sheets in their last 4 at home
2nd best defensively at home in the league (conceded 11 all season)
Only team to have conceded less at home – Atletico Madrid (10)
Villarreal have just escaped relegation and have nothing to play for

TIP: Getafe win to nil (2.95)
SCORE: 1-0

– – –

Real Valladolid v Valencia – 3.15pm (Tom)

16th (41 points) v 4th (58 points)
Valladolid are mathematically safe – nothing to play for
Valencia need a win to secure a Champions League spot
But, Valladolid have won 3 of their last 4 games to avoid relegation
There’s been goals galore in Valencia games recently
Over 3.5 goals in their last 4
3-1, 2-6, 2-4 and 3-1 in all comps
Won 4 of their last 6 away games in the League too
Their last 5 away league games have all seen BTTS

Tip: BTTS (1.78) / Over 3.5 goals (2.70) / Valencia win & BTTS (3.15) – RED
Score Prediction 1-3

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Sevilla v Atheltic Bilbao – 3.15pm (Olly)
6th vs 7th (3 points separates the 2 teams)
Bilbao can’t get 6th though as the H2H are the same (both won 2-0) therefore it goes to GD and Sevilla have a far superior Goal Difference
BTTS has only happened once in their last 6 meetings. Tend to be very tight encounters.
4 of the last 5 games for Sevilla have NOT seen BTTS
3 of the last 5 games for Bilbao have NOT seen BTTS
Over 2.5 Goals has also only happened once in their last 6 meetings
Think this will be super tight too.

Tip: BTTS NO (2.38) / Under 2.5 Goals (2.3) – RED
Score: 1-0

– – –

Alaves v Girona – 7.45pm (Will)

11th v 18th
Alaves have tumbled down the league
Were 5th not that long ago
Won 1 of their last 11 games
BTTS in 7
Girona have only won 2 of their last 11
BUT scored in 7 of those
Would be 7th in the league on away form

TIP: Girona double chance (1.64) / Girona win & BTTS (5.25)
SCORE: 1-2

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Celta Vigo v Rayo Vallecano – 7.45pm (Tom)

17th (40 points) v 19th (31 points)
Celta are basically safe – unless there is a massive goal difference swing
Vallecano are already relegated
Celta Vigo have won their last 4 home games on the bounce
Vallecano have lost their last 8 away games in a row
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Rayo Vallecano’s last 8 away games

Tip: Celta Vigo HT & FT (1.95) / Celta Vigo & BTTS (2.63)
Score Prediction: 3-1

– – –

Huesca v Leganes – 7.45pm (Olly)

20th vs 13th
There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 11 of Leganes’s last 13 games
Huesca have failed to win 10 of their last 11 matches (but have drawn 5 of them)
Leganes won the return fixture 1-0 earlier in the season
Huesca have conceded the most goals from penalties in La Liga this season, with 9
Last on Spanish Match of the Day.
Boring game with minimal goals.

Tip: Under 2.5 goals (2.23) / Draw (3.50)
Score: 0-1

– – –

Sunday 19th May

Real Madrid v Real Betis – 11am (Will)

3rd v 10th
Madrid are already confirmed 3rd place
Nothing to play for
Have only won 3 of their last 8
Conceded in 6 of those games
Betis have scored at least 1 in 10 of the last 12
BUT only won 1 of the last 6 away (Celta Vigo – 18th)

TIP: Madrid win and BTTS (2.6)
SCORE: 1-1

– – –

Eibar v Barcelona – 3.15pm (Tom)

12th (46 points) v 1st (86 points)
Eibar have nothing to play for – mid table
Barca won the league a few games back – and are out of CL too
Eibar have only scored 3 goals in the last 6 meetings between the sides
Barca have 23 in that time
Barca have only lost 1 of their last 25 La Liga games
Barcelona have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 matches

Tip: Barca HT Barca FT (2.88) – RED
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